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India’s Tech Sector Feels Infosys’s Pain

Reuters
India’s tech-sector bellwethers

India’s information-technology index is down 4.1% on a day when the broader market is down just 1.2%, and Infosys Technologies is leading the way—demonstrating that a rise of nearly 14% in fourth-quarter consolidated net profit to 18.18 billion rupees ($408.4 million) isn’t such good news when expectations (as expressed in a Dow Jones Newswires poll of 27 analysts) are for 18.81 billion rupees. Shares of India’s second-largest software exporter by revenue, are down 8.4% in midday trading. (The market is also wondering why Infosys foresees revenue growth in fiscal 2012 of 18% to 20% but earnings-per-share growth of just 5% to 7%.)



“Both the top line and bottom line are below expectations and while the FY12 dollar revenue guidance is in line with expectations, the EPS forecast is much below estimates,” says a local analyst.

Among other major constituents of the IT index, Tata Consultancy Services, which will report its fourth-quarter earnings on April 21, is down 2.1%; Wipro is down 4.6%; and HCL Technologies is down 3.5%.

Rohit Anand, an analyst at PINC Securities, calls the Infosys earnings guidance “ultraconservative,” and says the company is expected to comfortably exceed it—as it has a history of doing. He’s keeping his buy rating, but he is reviewing his target price, currently 3,750 rupees. At last count, the stock was at 3,027 rupees
Abdullah Shahzad

Abdullah Shahzad

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